An active pattern will continue this week as more showers and thunderstorms grace central Missouri skies, bringing renewed chances for flooding, hail and wind damage, and a slight risk for a tornado.
THURSDAY
ROUND TWO
The rest of the day, after the midday round, will feature mostly cloudy skies with a few peeks of sunshine and highs in the middle to upper 80s. You'll notice the humidity, too.
By Thursday afternoon, a few pop-up storms are not out of the question, but most activity is currently expected to hold off until 8pm or later. Some limited sunshine is possible.
The second round will begin to our northwest between 5-7pm and will quickly become strong to severe over western Missouri, near Kansas City and northwest Missouri.
This round of storms is expected to reach central Missouri after 8pm.
At this time we expect the evening and overnight round to consist of fairly widespread heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding. Higher rainfall rates may persist for multiple hours in some locations.
Damaging winds with gusts reaching 60 to 80 mph and large hail may also form with the evening system. A tornado cannot be ruled out if the atmosphere is able to recover enough from the morning system.
Stay tuned as we track these systems and be sure to have the KOMU 8 First Alert Weather App downloaded on your devices with notifications and location turned on so you're the first to know the latest developments.
FRIDAY - SUNDAY
A stationary boundary will sit overhead for a few days. This system will push off waves of energy which will feature rounds of heavy thunderstorms. While flooding will remain the main threat through the weekend in areas receiving significant amounts of rainfall, large hail, strong winds, and a spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out. Timing and location for these events is impossible to specify this early.
Friday is set to have two rounds of showers and thunderstorms. One in the morning and another in the afternoon/evening. A few strong to severe storms are possible, with large hail and damaging winds. Flooding will remain the primary concern.
Friday's Storm Mode Index will remain at a 3 (0 to 5 scale) because we expect issues in regards to the flooding.
Temperatures will be in the upper 80s on Friday with a high dew point reaching the middle 70s leading to a hot and humid day.
Slightly cooler weather with highs in the middle 80s is expected on Saturday and Sunday with lower dew points in the mid-upper 60s.
RAINFALL POTENTIAL
Much of central Missouri is under a Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning. This may be extended further into the weekend.
Between Thursday and Monday much of central Missouri may record 2-5" of rainfall. Locally higher amounts can't be ruled out in locations that get multiple rounds of thunderstorms and heavy rain.
NEXT WEEK
More showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially on Monday and Tuesday, as a weak cold front and low pressure system struggles to exit to our southeast. Highs should be seasonal in the middle 80s.
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June 25, 2021 at 04:30AM
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STORM MODE: Thursday & Friday storms with continued flooding risks - KOMU 8
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