(Bloomberg) -- Chinese economy activity continued to rebound in August, with a gauge of the services industry at the strongest level since early 2018 while the expansion in manufacturing activity slowed slightly.
The non-manufacturing gauge rose to 55.2 from July’s 54.2, the National Bureau of Statistics said Monday. The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index moderated to 51 from 51.1 a month earlier. A reading above 50 indicates conditions improved from a month earlier.
China’s economy continued to recover from the slump in the first quarter, with government-led investment boosting demand and some reopening of overseas economies buoying the export sector. Service industries have been picking up as the government eases virus control measures, with more sub-sectors such as cinemas opened again.
The better-than-expected result for the services PMI shows this sector is starting to recover after being hit harder by Covid-19, according to Zhou Hao, an economist at Commerzbank AG in Singapore. The softer manufacturing data suggests “the momentum in the industrial sector has been stabilizing amid the post-Covid recovery,” he said.
Weaker Demand
Although demand for manufactured goods is improving, with new orders rising to 52 and new export orders increasing to 49.1, firms still are suffering from a lack of demand.
“The recovery of demand is slower than that of production, which is starting to drag on the economic recovery,” China Logistics Information Center, which helped compile the data, wrote in a statement on its website. “More than half of companies still list the lack of market demand as the main difficulty” and that is making them cautious about expanding production further, according to the statement.
What Bloomberg’s Economists Say...
“Looking ahead, we expect the recovery to continue to make headway, propelled by incremental increases in domestic demand and further opening of overseas economies. That said, returning to pre-pandemic growth rates anytime soon would be a tall order.”
Chang Shu, Bloomberg Economics
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A set of early indicators suggested China’s economy picked up speed in August, aided by a strong industrial sector and stock market, better business confidence and home and car sales.
However, small companies “still face many difficulties in production and operation,” including insufficient market demand and a shortage of capital, Zhao Qinghe, an NBS economist, said in a statement accompanying the data. The PMI for small manufacturers continued to decline, dropping to 47.7.
(Updates with Bloomberg Economics comment.)
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